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Tag:Fantasy Spot Light
Posted on: April 8, 2009 9:13 pm
 

NL Only Player Spot Light- Chris Snyder.

 

 Catcher, arguably one of the weakest positions on your fantasy roster. Ranking right up there with short stop and second base. The most common throught process in regards to drafting catchers dicates that one should grab a stud early or wait until the very end of the draft.

There are three types of catcher you can draft. The studs, a very exclusive group including Brian McCann, Russell Martin, Joe Mauer and Geovony Soto. There is the second tier, less sexy, still productive, which includes among others, Chris Iannetta, Victor Martinez, Ryan Doumit, Benjie Molina et al. Finally there are the crap shoot catchers, the catchers you draft in the last rounds just to fill out the position, this includes guys like Jesus Flores, Kurt Suzuki and today's spot light player, Arizona Diamondbacks, Chris Snyder.

If you're just a casual fantasy baseball fan, you likely won't know who Chris Snyder. But if you play in deep mixed leagues with two catchers then Chris Snyder's name was on your draft prep sheet somewhere, though not very high.

That's the thing with little known, limited value catchers they can help you a bit in a couple categories and hurt just bad in other categories. Just like Chris Snyder does.

2006- 19r, 6hr, 32rbi, .277ba, 22bb, 39k, .349obp, .424slg, 773ops

2007- 37r, 13hr, 47rbi, .252ba, 40bb, 67k, .342obp, .433slg, .775ops

2008- 47r, 16hr, 64rbi, .237ba, 56bb, 101k, .348obp, .452slg, .800ops

 

There is an odd trend occuring here inregards to the dropping batting average and the increased strike out totals. So why does a guy who's seen his batting average drop .040 points in 3 years and his strike out rate rise from 21.2% to 20.6% before skyrocketing up to 30.2% in 2008 get any attention from me?

Here's why-

1- Rising walk rate- 10.7%, 10.9%, 14.4%. Snyder has always known how to take a walk

2- A constant OBP- For those in OBP leagues, Snyders .345obp is about as safe as you can get late in the draft.

3- That HR power- Only five catchers had more homers then Snyder. Six if you include Molina who had just as many.

4- The improving counting stats- The homerun totals have risen in each of the past three years. As have his runs and rbi. An improving D-Backs line up should provide Chris with a few more RBI opportunities.

 

With the way things are shaping up Chris Snyder could be one of the more undervalued catchers this season. With the chance to belt 20+hr in full time duty this season. I'd be looking for 55r, 18hr, 70rbi, .245avg, but I wouldn't be surprised if he surpassed those projections.

 

 

Posted on: April 8, 2009 1:24 am
 

AL Only Player Spot Light- Mark Ellis

 

This blog is my time to highlight and talk up any player of my choosing. Since everyone else likes to highlight and praise all the super stars I figured I'd do the exact opposite. Give praise and some insight into lesser known players. Players that are generally owned in single league formats, players like the under rated and highly undervalued Mark Ellis of the Oakland Athletics.

Now when I say Mark Ellis, if you know who he is, you might cringe at the very thought of having him on your roster. Me on the other hand, I'm rushing to head of the line to get his attention, because he's sure gotten mine.

Quick tell me how many American League second basemen hit double digit home runs? 6 of them. Alexie Ramirez, Ian Kinsler, Jose Lopez, Dustin Pedroia, Robinson Cano and Mark Ellis.

Even quicker this time, how many American League second basemen stole double digit bases? 6 again. Brian Roberts, Ian Kinsler, Dustin Pedroia, Mark Ellis, Alexie Ramirez, and Howie Kendrick.

Only four of them found themselves in both groups, three of them are sure fire studs and widely known, appeciated and highly sought after (Kinsler, Pedroia, Ramirez) the other is a late round, waiver wire, $1-$3 roster filler. So why do I like him so much?

Aside from providing some solid pop and speed from a shallow position, it's the possibility of a bounce back this season. Remember folks in 2007 Mark Ellis was a must own in all formats.

Here's a quick break of his past three seasons.

2006- 64r, 11hr, 52rbi, 4sb, .249ba, 40bb, 76k, .319obp, .385slg, .704ops

2007- 84r, 19hr, 76rbi, 9sb, .276ba, 44bb, 94k, .336obp, .441slg, .777ops

2008- 55r, 12hr, 41rbi, 14sb, .233ba, 53bb, 65k, .323obp, .373slg, .694ops

Now you've likely noticed that Ellis' power is good for double digits having reached that plateau 4 years running, the oddity is the increasing stolen bases on he gets on in age. But arguably the biggest factor hurting his fantasy value is his poor batting average, hell even the Arizona Diamondback's 3b Mark Reynolds .239 mark was better.

So what was behind that drastic fall in batting average? Well how about a dramatic .053 fall in babip down from a solid .302 to a miserable .249 mark. A return to the mean of .300 in the babip department could mean a return to a .260 batting average.

So we've discovered the mystery behind the falling batting average, here a couple other reason to like Mark Ellis this year.

1- A rising walk rate - 8.3%, 7.0%, 10.7%- A willingness to take a few free passing can only mean more stolen base opportunities and run scoring chances.

2- A declining strike out rate- 17.2%, 16.1%, 14.7%- If you don't strike out you're more apt to get on base.

3- Better Line Up- Though not a skill on can possess, you can only imagine that having Jason Giambi, Matt Holliday and Jack Cust hit behind would help on improve their run totals.

So if you find yourself in a jam in AL only leagues you may want to quickly snap up Mark Ellis off the waiver or, trade him on the cheap, as he has the ability and chance to turn a big profit this season.

 
 
 
 
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