Posted on: December 5, 2010 3:12 pm
This weeks entry is a couple days late so we'll get right to it.
Saturday Dec 4th- Friday 10th
Anaheim Ducks- 4
Atlanta Thrashers- 3
Boston Bruins- 3
Buffalo Sabres- 3
Calgary Flames- 4
Chicago Blackhawks- 2
Carolina Hurricanes- 2
Colorado Avalanche- 3
Columbus Blue Jackets- 3
Dallas Stars- 3
Detroit Red Wings- 4
Edmonton Oilers- 3
Florida Panthers- 3
Los Angeles Kings- 2
Minnesota Wild- 2
Montreal Canadiens- 3
Nashville Predators- 3
New Jersey Devils- 3
New York Islanders- 2
New York Rangers- 2
Ottawa Senators- 5
Philadelphia Flyers- 4
Phoenix Coyotes- 2
Pittsburgh Penguins- 3
San Jose Sharks- 4
St.Louis Blues- 3
Tampa Bay Lightning- 3
Toronto Maple Leafs- 4
Vancouver Canucks- 2
Washington Capitals- 3
Sam Gagner- 16% Ownership- 5 Pts, +5, 2 PIM, 2 PPP, 7 SOG- The Oilers are rolling right now and the forward lines are clicking big time. Because Gagner hasn't been an offensive stud in the past couple of years his production has been under the radar thanks in large part to the great play of rookies Taylor Hall and Jordan Eberle. But wise owners should take note of the chemistry that the second line of Dustin Penner, Gilbert Brule and Gagner has established. Those in deep leagues should consider adding the youngster while the team is rolling.
Valterri Filppula- 31% Ownership- 4 Pts, + 4, 4 PIMS, 1 PPP, 5 SOG- The second is going strong for the Red Wings right now as Filppula, Dan Cleary and Todd Bertuzzi has combined for 10pts in the past 7 days. With the majority of the opponents defensive focus on Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg Filppula and company should continue to get easier matchups.
Alex Tanguay- 43% Ownership- 4 Pts, +1, 6 SOG- We all know that Tanguay can be a productive player, but he's always relied on establishing a good relationship with his linemates....after all play makers need that. He's connected with Jerome Iginla, and right now Iggy Pop is on fire, Tanguay has been the prime beneficiary. Ride him while he's hot, but don't be surpirsed if the Flames dynamic duo produce sporadicly.
Roman Hamrlik- 22% Ownership- 5 pts, +2, 6 PIM, 1 PPP, 8 SOG- Hamrlik has always been a quietly effective producer from the blueline. This year is no different. The Habs have plenty of blueline depth, so much so that they've scratched rookie sensation PK Subban in favour of Yannick Weber. The Habs have been one of the leagues best teams this year, and the strong play from their blue line and All World goaltending of Carey Price should keep them atop the division. Keep Hamrlik in mind if you're looking for a reliable plug and play for an injured blueliner.
Yannick Weber- 0% Ownership- 2 pts, +3, 1 PPP, 6 SOG- All that production has come in just 2 games. He's been the beneficiary of PK Subbans demotion to the press box. Unfortunately that can't last for ever, and this is merely a speculation play, but if the Habs decide to make a move or scratch another blueliner, Weber is the guy to fill the void. Add him to your watch list.
Paul Martin- 46% Ownership- 2 PTS, 2 PPP, 5 SOG- 2 PPG on 5 SOG, that's pretty good production. He's been overshadowed by Kris Letang and Alex Goligoski, but his production has been just as good as Goligoski's. If you're looking for a blueliner who gets good PP time and has been productive, you may consider adding Martin.
Nikolai Khabibulin- 27% Ownership- 2 W, .50 GAA, .985 SV%, 1 SO- If you've watched the Oilers during their recent hot streak you'll notice that The Bulin has his confidence back and his back injury doesn't seem to be a concern. If that's the case the Oiler could definately be a team to watch the rest of the way. Khabibulin has shown in the past the ability to carry a team, and as the Oilers youngsters mature and gel this could be a dangerous squad. Those searching for a #3 net minder should add Khabibulin while they still can.
Anders Lindback- 13% Ownership- 1 W, 2.01 GAA, .933 SV%- With starter Pikka Renne out with a knee injury, the young Swede gets his chance to take control between the pipes in Music City. The Predators have always developed strong goaltenders and Lindback is no different, there may be a bit of an adjustment period but expect solid numbers across the board for the next month or so.
Posted on: November 25, 2010 11:32 pm
Happy Thanksgiving to those American readers of this here fine blog....assuming I have more then myself reading this.
Johan Hedberg- 8% Ownership- 2 W, 0.84 GAA, .968 SV%, 1 SO- We've seen The Moose carry a team before, what's to say he can't do so while Martin Brodeur is injured? Of course the concern is the lack of talent around him, primarily the D is missing from the Devils. If you're minders are injured or struggling, Hedberg may help eliviate some of that strain. But consider him nothing more then a number three, one you can cut at the first sign of concern.
Posted on: November 20, 2010 3:45 pm
Here we are folks for back toback weeks! This past week has been difficult for me as a Sens fan having watched my boys get pummeled, and my GAA with it. But I'll save the sob story about my fantasy teams, and turn my attention to helping you and yours.
Brett Clark- 4% Owned- 4 pts, -1 3 PPP, 8 SOG- Any blue liner on the Lightning that gets power play time is worth monitoring, having the opportunity to feed the puck to Martin St.Louis, and Steve Stamkos is just an added bonus. I'll take that kind of production even with the risk of a minus. 4 games this week, makes him a pretty strong play.
Kevin Skattenkirk- 1% Owned- 2 pts, +1, 1 PPP, 6 SOG- This is speculation as the majority of rookie blueliners accomplish nothing for your fantasy team, that being said, two goals from the defense is nice. He plays 6 games in the next two weeks, so use this week to monitor for progression.
Alex Pietrangelo 12% Owned- 3 pts, -2, 2 PPP, 8 SOG- PP time, SOG, low ownership, highly touted, highly skilled. Put him on the radar, add him if you have injuries on your blue line.
Posted on: November 11, 2010 11:11 pm
Been busy for a while folks, so he's a condensed version of the 4 week sked.
This week we're the pick ups from Fri 12th-Fri, 19th (next day for Yahoo! followers)
So here we go folks.
Ananheim Ducks- 5
Atlanta Thrashers- 4
Boston Bruins- 4
Buffalo Sabres- 4
Calgary Flames- 4
Carolina Hurricanes- 3
Chicago Blackhawks- 3
Colorado Avalanche- 5
Columbus Bluejackets- 3
Dallas Stars- 3
Detroit Red Wings- 3
Edmonton Oilers- 4
Florida Panthers- 4
Los Angelas Kings- 4
Minnesota Wild- 4
Montreal Canadiens- 3
Nashville Predators- 3
New Jersey Devils- 3
New York Islanders- 2
New York Rangers- 4
Ottawa Senators- 3
Philadelphia Flyers- 3
Phoenix Coyotes- 4
Pittsburgh Penguins- 5
San Jose Sharks- 4
St.Louis Blues- 4
Tampa Bay Lightning- 4
Toronto Maple Leafs- 3
Vancouver Canucks- 3
Washington Capitals- 3
We'll list the players in decending ownership percentage. Stats are over 14 days, ownership % = Yahoo!
Sergie Bobrovsky- 66% ownership- 5 W, 1.67 GAA, .944 SV- What can you really say about the guy? The rookie has been very good all season long, just look at the numbers. The Flyers only play 3 games over the next 7 days, but that shouldn't stop you from adding him in your league, but do so quickly. Micheal Leighton is slated to return, but I don't see Bobrovsky or Peter Laviolette giving him the job right away.
Dan Ellis- 54% ownership- 2 W, .098 GAA, .963 SV, 2 SO- Woe is me! The kid can still mind the net, maybe he deserves a little more cash? No not really, but he's been good of late, and he's availablle in just under half of leagues. If you're hurting in net (looking at you Brodeur owners), then Ellis is definately worth add, you know that his team is going to provide the offense.
Peter Budaj- 26% ownership- 3 W, 2.43 GAA, .917 SV, 1 SO- The one stat that jumps out there is the pedestrian SV%. I haven't gotten to see much of Budaj this year (stupid Leaf bias), the only start in fact was that 6-5 shoot out against the Calgary Flames. He looked shakey then, but clearly has calmed down, and embrassed the role of being the club's number one guy. While he's rolling he's a worth while add if you're matched up against an owner with 3+ goalies next week.
Dennis Wideman- 47% ownership- 5 pts, 2 PPP, 10 SOG- On the season Wideman has more points then a group of notable defenseman, including Zdeno Chara, and Chris Pronger. He also has more points then Jay Bouwmeester, Micheal Del Zotto, Niklas Kronvall and Eric Johnson and yet at this point in time they are all owned at a much higher percentage. There never seems to be much love for Wideman, he's a solid play and can -during streches- be a .5 pt/gp blueliner. Two years ago he potted 13 goals. So far this season he's scored 2 goals, last year he potted 6. He'll beat that mark this season.
Dennis Seidenberg- 25% ownership- 4 pts, +2, 9 PIMS, 2 PPP, 8 SOG- Seidenberg has put together two straight 30+ pt seasons. This season should be no different. Paired on the blueline with Zdeno Chara, and the potent Bruins forwards should see a third straight season of breaking the 30 plateau, given that Wideman deliverd a 50pt campaign riding shotgun with Chara, it wouldn't be inconcievable for Seidenberg to do the same. With 4 games a piece this pair of Dennis' make a soild bet to add a little offensive punch to your blueline if you're dealing with injury or ineffectiveness (looking at you Brian Campbell owners)
Ryan Callahan- 54% 5 pts, -3, 2 PIM, 2 PPP, 21 SOG/ Artem Anisimov-13%- 5 pts, -2, 2 PIM, 3 PPP, 17 SOG
I'm allowed to group them together. They're line mates, and they're both equally productive. You'll notice that the third musketeer Brandon Dubinsky is missing....well he's actually owned in the majority of leagues. One would think owners would take notice of his linemates as well. Both Ryan and Artem have put up more points in the past 2 weeks then Andrew Ladd, Mikeal Samuelsson, David Backes, Ryan Clowe etc etc, and again they're owned in fewer leagues. The aforementioned players aren't super stars, and could/can be cut when not productive, yet they remain on active rosters. Hopefully the Rangers wunder kids can keep the ball rolling, and see those ownership numbers run up above 60 and 25.
Jeff Skinner- 41%, 11 pts, -1, 5 PPP, 19 SOG- Really? 41%. There is only one excuse for this. Shallow leagues. 3 of his past 4 games have been multi point performances. What is everyone waiting for? He's a first round draft pick, so he has the pedigree. Quickly snap him before someone else comes to their senses and grabs him. He's the front runner for the Calder trophy, so why not claim those bragging rights in your league?
Derek Brassard- 27%- 9 pts, +5, 4 PIM, 2 PPP, 20 SOG- Dear Rick Nash; You're welcome. Signed Jakub Voracek and Derek Brassard. Nash is happy again, and that's due in large part to the emergence of youngsters Voracek and Brassard. After a disappointing season last year, Brassard is off to a scorching start. Riding a current 8 game point streak, and setting up one of the leagues elite snipers should be enough to see Brassard near universal ownership, unfortunately that's not the case. Despite 3 games this week, he should be able to contribute a couple points with matchups against Colorado, Los Angelas and Anaheim.
Michael Frolik- 12%- 8 pts, +8, 2 PPP, 25 SOG- "Little Jagr". That's how TSN analyst Pierre Macguire described Frolik's play against the Leafs this week. For the most part I can see the similarities, I've been a fan of his for a while now, you could say I drive the band wagon. 4 games this week, against, Minny, Philly, Atlanta and Boston, will see Frolik pitted against 2 hot goaltenders (Bobrovsky and Thomas) and two back to back games(something Tomas Vokoun owners should take note of). Riding a 5 game point streak and 3 game goal streak going into Fridays game, should give Frolik plenty of opportunities to extend the streak.
Posted on: October 8, 2010 3:32 pm
Here's a look at the week ahead, and some potential free agents that you should consider adding to your roster for a game or two. Remember folks, your fantasy roster is fluid (outside of your core studs) and you should be making moves to continually pick up the hot hand for an extra game or two per week.
Posted on: October 8, 2010 12:13 am
Every season, the first couple rounds of your typical fantasy draft sees, the majority of teams, scooping up all 90-100 pt forwards, and the elite goalies. Which in most instances is the easiest and most effective way to build the core of your team, after all you don't want to call Pascal Leclaire your number one goaltender do you? You don't believe me, I'm a Senators fan, you don't want him as your number one.
Posted on: September 5, 2010 5:53 pm
As we all know, there's a certain status or aura surrounding the first pick in a fantasy baseball draft. Next season will be no different.
There are the first round constants. Albert Pujols, Miguel Cabrera, Carl Crawford, Hanley Ramirez, David Wright, and then there are the break out first time first rounders. Guys like Joey Votto, Carlos Gonzalez, and Robinson Cano, have had monster seasons thus far and are poised to be amongst the first 5-6 players drafted in 2011 drafts.
But as the blog title asks, what does it take, and just who is next years number draft pick.
There is a differing of opinions on what kind of player/what position you should target with your first pick/picks. In the first round, I don't bother with targeting positions. If Miguel Cabrera is there with my first pick, doesn't matter to me that I can grab Adrian Gonzalez or Prince Fielder in the second round, I'm taking Miggy Cab, regardless, because he's just that damn good.
For many managers who follow this draft strategy it's all about the numbers. With my first pick, I'm looking to stack as many categories as I can.
I NEED 100 R, 30+ HR, 100+ RBI, .300+ AVG. I could care less about stolen bases with the first round, I'm of the thought process that I can find stolen bases later on in the draft, after all guys like Nyjer Morgan, Rajai Davis, Juan Pierre, Cliff Pennington, Chone Figgins, etc are all cheap enough that I don't need to use up a first round pick on Carl Crawford- no slight to Crawford who is a legit stud, and I'd never pass up the opportunity of the value is there.
So let's check the stats and see the guys who fit my requirements thus far.
Well no one, just yet.
Mark Teixeira is the only player with 100 R so far this season, but there are 11 players just shy of the mark (90+), to date.
Jose Bautista leads the bigs with 43 big flys, and there are 11 total guys with 30+ HR, and another 14 players within striking distance (24+).
Miggy Cab, and Jose Bautista sit 1-2 in RBI with 110 and 103 respectably. Yet another 14 players are within 10 or the century mark.
22 players are hitting .300 plus but we all know that the difference between a .300 hitter and a .280 hitter is roughly one hit per week.
So now that we've seemingly "narrowed" down the field, just who are the leading candidates. Or simply who ranks in the top ten in one or more categories. (For the sake of argument I've included ties)
Those few players- Mark Teixeira 3/4, Miguel Cabrera 4/4, Josh Hamilton 4/4, Robinson Cano 2/4, Joey Votto 4/4 , Jose Bautista 3/4, Albert Pujols 3/4, Carlos Gonzalez 4/4
According to that strategy, the first four picks of the 2011 draft would see Miggy Cab, Hamilton , Joey Votto and Carlos Gonzalez! selected.
While I don't see it playing out exactly like that, it should be close. I don't think that Albert Pujols will slip to the 5th pick in any drafts, thanks in large part to concerns about Josh Hamiltons injury history and major concerns of a repeat performance from Carlos Gonzalez. I'm not one of those guys with production concerns as far as Cargo is concerned. I own Hamilton in a keeper league and he'll be kept no doubt.
But just who is next years number one pick?
Drum roll please............
1a- Miguel Cabrera- Yes you're seeing a changing of the guard. Miggy Cab is the ultimate player. Sure he may not steal as many bases as Albert Pujols, but the ability to generate runs, and score them at a proficient rate is the swing factor for me oh did I mention that he's 28? Yeah I'll take it.
2011 Projection- 115 R, 35 HR, 120 RBI, 3 SB, .325 AVG
1b (or 2 if you're keeping track)- Albert Pujols- Damn thats a terrible consulation prize now isn't it. I don't see a dramatic drop off in production any time soon. Pujols still has Matt Holliday "protecting" him in the lineup. He swipes the occasional bag and the best player that this generation has ever seen. There's still plenty left in the tank and another monster season is 99% bankable.
2011 Projection- 110 R, 35 HR, 120 RBI, 12 SB, .305 AVG
3- Joey Votto- Way to go kiddo, Putting Canada on the baseball map! Talk about a tremendous jump in value. Those in keeper leagues that own him, have to be excited at the prospect of owning 2 1st round players. See there are still positive cases of gambling on upside. Votto is just entering his power prime, is in a loaded lineup- Brandon Phillips, Jay Bruce, Johnny Gomes, Drew Stubbs anyone? and the guy can swipe a bunch of bags. Yes you're seeing this right, he's a top 5 pick.
2011 Projection- 100 R, 35 HR, 115 RBI, 15 SB, .320 AVG
4- Josh Hamilton This is the one player that could be drafted in the top 5 or fall all the way to the second round based on his health in April. That question always will exsist. But no one, and I repeat NO ONE doubts this kids talent. If it weren't for the injury concerns he'd be the run away number 1 pick, and it's not even close.
2011 Projection- 110 R, 30 HR, 110 RBI, 10 SB, .315 AVG
5- Carlos Gonzalez- THIS is the player that the Athletics, and the Diamondbacks saw when they traded for and drafted him. I'm not going to lie, I've been a big fan of the guy since his minor league days, each year I've bought into the hype during the draft, attempting to grab him in as many drafts, as late as possible. Next year will be no exception. The pedgiree of a stud is there, and so is the production. Power, speed, everything is there. He could very well be the 2012 first round pick, if he repeats. I think he will.
2011 Projection- 100 R, 30 HR, 110 RBI, 20 SB, .290 AVG
6- Mark Teixeira- What can you say about the guy? Sure the batting average leaves something to be desired, but really if that's all you're worried about, draft Joe Mauer and you're all set. The guy is like clock work, he struggles, managers and the media write him, you trade peanuts to get him, and win your league. The guy puts up his numbers- and they're always good.
2011 Projection- 115 R, 35 HR, 120 RBI, 1 SB, .270 AVG
7- Robinson Cano- Well it's a damn shame you don't be able to pair the two Yankees together. Long thought of as a table setter with a bit of power, Cano has emerged as a legit power threat. He's the top 2b in the game now- move over Chase Utley- he's got power, hits for a great average, and will score runs, no matter where he is in the lineup.
2011 Projection- 115 R, 30 HR, 100 RBI, 5 SB, .320 AVG
8- Hanley Ramirez- He hasn't fallen that much, but his stock has faded. His final numbers will still be strong and he gets a minor push up thanks to his position, and stolen base prowess. He's still the top dog at short stop and you've got to expect more of the same from "Han-Ram" as the Marlins mature as a team- Gaby Sanchez, Logan Morrison, Cameron Maybin, Dan Uggla etc
2011 Projection- 95 R, 20 HR, 85 RBI, 35 SB, 310 AVG
9- Carl Crawford- I'm a big time fan of the guy, decent pop, great speed, great lineup- Carlos Pena, Evan Longoria, B.J. Upton, Ben Zobrist, Jason Bartlett anyone? If I get a pick in the last half of the first round I would take Carl Crawford. There's nothing wrong with this kid at all. But alot depends on where he signs, if he ends up in a hitters park like Texas, Chicago, etc he could be a top 5 pick.
2011 Projection- 100 R, 15 HR, 85 RBI, 45 SB, .300 AVG
10- Ryan Braun- This pick and the rest from the 10-20 range is a little bunched up. Guys like Prince Fielder, David Wright, Matt Holliday, Joe Mauer, Evan Longoria, Adrian Gonzalez, Alex Rios, Chris B. Young, Kevin Youkilis, Ryan Zimmerman, Alex Rodriguez etc are all relatively close in value, but Braun sits just a bit ahead of them in 2011. He's a legit power threat who's having a down year. This call for me is a bit of a gut call.
2011 Projection- 90 R, 25 HR, 100 RBI, 15 SB, .300 AVG
You'll notice the absence of Blue Jays slugger, Jose Bautista from the first round. That's because I don't think he can repeat- to the same level. He's got power, but I would never bank on 40+ HR next season. I could see 30 with another .260 AVG, solid and definately draftable but not first round worthy. Odds are though, that you can get him at a relative value. Managers will be fearful of drafting him next season out of fear of him being a flop. I'll be one of those brave managers that will be willing to spend a mid-round pick on the Bautista Bomb in 2011.
That's my take on the first 10 picks of the 2011 draft, though note they're subject to change at any point in time. Let me hear your feed back.
Posted on: September 1, 2010 8:44 pm
Now every, by a show of hands, let's see how many people knew about the Kansas City Royals, Gregor Blanco before the start of the season?